The chances were there for FSU to pull off the win at Death Valley last weekend.
Sometimes the football gods (and the refs) just don’t work in your favor.
But we still think the Noles are headed in the right direction and hopefully will continue to make positive strides against the Wolfpack tomorrow.
Vegas only has NC State as a 2.5pt favorite which says a lot both about their team as well as FSU considering their polar-opposite records.
What do the bots at College Football News have to say about the match-up?
NC State (6-2, 3-1) vs Florida State (3-5, 2-3) Preview
Why NC State Will Win
Even with a tough loss at Miami a few weeks ago, NC State is still in the ACC title hunt with a big showdown this week and the big battle with Wake Forest coming up.
The defense got back on track with a terrific performance against Louisville, the passing game is getting even stronger, and now the Wolfpack gets a Florida State team that’s still struggling a bit on the offensive line and doesn’t have enough of a passing attack to worry about.
NC State has this as long as it doesn’t royally screw up – it hasn’t turned the ball over in the last four games.
Why Florida State Will Win
It’s all about the ground attack.
Florida State has a nice all-around offensive balance, but when it runs well it wins. When it runs sort of well, it loses.
It took Notre Dame to overtime after tearing off 265 yards, and since then it’s 3-0 when getting to 230 yards or more and 0-3 when it doesn’t.
At home, the defense that’s been quietly okay all year – not amazing by Florida State standards, but decent – should be good against the NC State running game, but it’s about the other side because …
What’s Going To Happen
Stop the run, stop Florida State.
NC State’s defensive front should get into the backfield and should hold up well. It gave up over 200 rushing yards for the first time last week against Louisville and still won easily. This won’t be so simple on the road.
FSU will make this interesting – not last 60 seconds of last week against Clemson interesting, but it’s not going to get blown out – but the Wolfpack won’t make the big mistakes and they won’t give up the massive rushing yards.
Date: Saturday, November 6
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
How To Watch: ACC Network
Don’t be surprised if the Noles are down by two scores heading into the final quarter but right the ship at the perfect time to steal a win from NC State.
Coach Norvell has the team heading in the right direction in Year Two and can still make a lot of positives with a few well-timed wins to close out the month.
Our picks last week took a hard hit as we settled for .500 but we’re also looking to rebound with a strong set of games on the weekend slate.
Friday, November 5th
|Boston College vs Virginia Tech||VT 31, BC 24|
Saturday, November 6th
|North Carolina vs #9 Wake Forest||WAKE 39, UNC 34|
|Duke vs #25 Pittsburgh||PITT 38, Duke 14|
|Miami vs Georgia Tech||MIA 34, GT 28|
|Florida State vs #19 NC State||FSU 31, NCST 29|
|Louisville vs Clemson||CLEM 27, LOU 22|
Last Week’s Picks: 4-4
Year-to-Date Record: 53-27 (66.25%)
We’re keeping our fingers crossed for a great slate of games and we’ll check back in next week and hopefully not cringe at the results.
And if you missed it, check out our latest episode of the “Laces Out” series here.
If you’ve signed up for our weekly ESPN College Pick ‘Em challenge then don’t forget to get your picks locked in. Top entry at the end of the season will get a nominal cash prize!
Information for this post was obtained from College Football News.